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Blog posts tagged with 'oil prices'

Uncertainty and harsh winter driving gold up.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Uncertainty and harsh winter driving gold up.

 

A.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Gold Hits 4-Month High On Safe-Haven Demand, Bullish Technicals

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-24/Gold-Hits-4-Month-High-On-Safe-Haven%20Demand-Bullish-Technicals.html

Uncertainty and harsh winter driving gold up.

 

Oil price rises as US cold forecast to return

https://news.yahoo.com/oil-price-rises-us-cold-forecast-return-054656242--finance.html

Uncertainty and harsh winter driving gold up.

 

Ukraine declares former president fugitive

http://screen.yahoo.com/ukraine-declares-former-president-fugitive-150103303.html

Uncertainty and harsh winter driving gold up.

Power, steel, cement suggest China's economy not so buoyant

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

There was a temporary hit to U.S. economy and dollar. Do not get sucked into gold. By end of March, we will see better signs for U.S. economy and dollar.

 

Oil price above $100 on US heating fuel demand

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-price-above-100-us-140146343.html

This is temporary. Oil will start heading down in late March.

 

Foreign banks bracing for tough U.S. Fed capital rules

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/foreign-banks-bracing-tough-u-130639891.html

Half Spin Article: The Federal Reserve is leveling the playing field and forcing foreign banks to follow the same rules as U.S. banks.

 

Power, steel, cement suggest China's economy not so buoyant

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/power-steel-cement-suggest-chinas-210121419.html

China is a house of cards.

 

Dollar, Follow-Through, Chinese Buying Push Gold To Highest Level Since Oct.

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-02-17/Dollar-Follow-Through-Chinese-Buying-Push-Gold-To-Highest-Level-Since-Oct.html

This is temporary. The Chinese are buying gold instead of dollars to try and keep the dollar from getting stronger.

 

Why Fed Second-Guessing Is Hurting the Dow

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The regular banks will separate from the Federal Reserve’s lead and start raising rates and lowering lending standards. The U.S. economy is ready to go back to normal fiscal policy and start ahead of the Fed.

Suggested Reading: 

Oil slips, set to lose more than 2% for week

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-takes-a-breather-but-faces-weekly-losses-2013-09-20?siteid=yhoof2

Spin Article. We are approaching the end of the summer oil spike.

 

European stocks drop ahead of German election

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-slip-after-rally-adidas-drops-2013-09-20?siteid=yhoof2

Half Truth. Europe printed enough money to bail out the broke Euro countries until the end of September. Everyone wants Germany to bail them out in October and that is what the election is about.

 

Why Fed Second-Guessing Is Hurting the Dow

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/09/20/why-fed-second-guessing-is-hurting-the-dow.aspx

The regular banks will separate from the Federal Reserve’s lead and raise rates and lower standards. The U.S. economy is ready to go back to normal fiscal policy and will go there ahead of the Fed.

Oil extends gains toward $110 after US jobs report

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

August jobs report: Hiring continues as unemployment falls

jobs report data 090613

The jobs report was basically flat. Watch the Fed meeting next week (Sept. 17-18), 50% chance they taper.


Suggested Reading:

U.S. economy adds 169,000 jobs in August

Unemployment falls to 7.3% as more people quit looking for work

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-economy-adds-169000-jobs-in-august-2013-09-06?siteid=yhoof2

Knee jerk reaction. Not much has change. Taper on Fed Meeting September 17-18 is still around 50%.

 

Oil extends gains toward $110 after US jobs report

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-extends-gains-toward-110-us-jobs-report-135055128--finance.html

Have you noticed prices at pumps are down. The U.S. is adding large gas supplies (transportation). Oil per barrel $110 because of energy production and the world.

 

How low can gold go?

http://www.futuresmag.com/2013/09/06/how-low-can-gold-go?ref=hp

It is not a question of if, but when.

Dollar jumps after surprise manufacturing gain

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy is recovering on its own. Europe and China are enjoying a temporary boost because of all the Euros printed in January.

 

COLUMN-Backlogs shrink for oil and gas megaprojects: Kemp

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/03/oil-and-gas-engineering-idUSL6N0GZ2S220130903?feedType=RSS&feedName=industrialsSector&rpc=43

U.S. companies starting to catch up to sideways drilling, fracturing and government regulations.

 

Dollar jumps after surprise manufacturing gain

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-rises-ahead-of-manufacturing-data-2013-09-03?siteid=yhoof2

U.S. economy is recovering on its own. Europe and China are enjoying a temporary boost because of all the Euros printed in January.

 

Drop in South Europe car sales dims prospects of stabilisation

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/drop-south-europe-car-sales-073030285.html

U.S. economy is recovering on its own. 

TSX hits three-month high on higher grain, gold prices

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Massive printing of Euros in January and dovish remarks from Bernanke in July are slowing the U.S. private sector's recovery. When the Fed tapers, the recovery will start moving again.

Suggested Reading: 

TSX hits three-month high on higher grain, gold prices

http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/tsx-may-open-lower-oil-prices-slip-122511327.html

Massive printing of Euros in January and dovish remarks from Bernanke in July will push the dollar down and gold up until Fed tapers.

 

Orders for long-lasting US factory goods plunge

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/orders-long-lasting-us-factory-goods-plunge-123353500.html

Massive printing of Euros in January and dovish remarks from Bernanke in July put U.S. goods on hold until Fed tapers.

Oil price swings above $106 on US data, Syria

http://news.yahoo.com/oil-price-swings-above-106-us-data-syria-132654687.html

Massive printing of Euros in January and dovish remarks from Bernanke in July will push dollar down and oil up until Fed tapers and the summer oil spike ends (last week of Sept.).

 

Oil losses worsen, prices sink below $104

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

U.S. oil prices are dropping. Foreign oil prices are rising.

Suggested Reading:

Oil losses worsen, prices sink below $104

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-losses-worsen-prices-sink-below-104-2013-08-21?siteid=yhoof2

U.S. Oil prices dropping.

 

Brent stays above $109 after China data; Libya weighs

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/brent-stays-above-109-china-054206576.html

Foreign oil prices rising.

 

EPA Loses Appeal Over Pennsylvania Power Plant Pollution

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-21/epa-loses-appeal-over-pennsylvania-power-plant-pollution.html?cmpid=yhoo

The war against coal (40% of U.S. energy production) is only to push oil prices over $100 per barrel so alternatives with government subsidies are economical.

Oil falls below $107 as stock markets stall

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The Fed minutes from the last meeting will come out Wednesday August 21. The next Fed meeting is September 17-18 and the summer oil spike will end the last week of September.

Suggested Reading: 

Oil falls below $107 as stock markets stall

http://news.yahoo.com/oil-falls-below-107-stock-markets-stall-130245113.html

The Fed will taper, the question is when?

 

UPDATE- Libya says Marsa al Hariga oil port resumes full operations

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/19/wh-libya-oil-idUSL6N0GK1EC20130819?feedType=RSS&feedName=industrialsSector&rpc=43

Increase Supplies.

 

Widespread losses hit TSX as Fed fears pick up steam

http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/tsx-opens-lower-fed-worries-weigh-133824542.html

The Fed will taper, the question is when?


 

Gold slips as mostly positive data dull appeal

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Ben Bernanke speaks at 2 pm EST. If Bernanke is dovish gold should go up. If he is hawkish gold should go down.

 

Suggested Reading

Gold slips as mostly positive data dull appeal

Federal Reserve statement due after Comex close

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-gains-as-market-nears-fed-gdp-reports-2013-07-31

Good data Fed tapers sooner.

 

Oil hovers near $103 ahead of Fed statement

http://news.yahoo.com/oil-hovers-near-103-ahead-fed-statement-051907579.html

Good data oil goes down.

 

Unemployment rates rise in 90 pct. of US cities

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/unemployment-rates-rise-90-pct-us-cities-172607433.html

Dovish comments 3 weeks ago drove unemployment up.

 

*Ben Bernanke speaks at 2 pm EST

Oil near $104 as slower China dims demand outlook

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

All the factors that pushed communities up for the July are starting to running out. Keep watch for the July 30th Fed meeting.

 

Suggested Reading:

Europe stocks down on China concerns, earnings

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/europe-stocks-drop-with-german-uk-data-in-view-2013-07-25?siteid=yhoof2

Europe and China are linked.

 

Oil near $104 as slower China dims demand outlook

http://news.yahoo.com/oil-near-104-slower-china-dims-demand-outlook-122853719.html

As Europe and China slow down and U.S. oil supplies go up, oil prices will drop.

 

Student loan deal faces an easy path in House

http://news.yahoo.com/student-loan-deal-faces-easy-path-house-075734998.html

Spin. Temporary discount on loans until rates go up. This means Universities can keep charging more and in a couple of years student debt will be crippling to the 33% of the population that has student loans.

 

Summer manipulations almost over .