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Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Dollar down and gold up temporarily

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Dollar down and gold up temporarily.

 

Russia warns of civil war if Ukraine uses force to quell eastern revolts

http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/08/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/index.html

Dollar down and gold up temporarily.

 

NATO warns Russia against 'historic' Ukraine mistake

http://news.yahoo.com/russia-warns-force-could-tip-ukraine-civil-war-055428164.html

Dollar down and gold up temporarily.

 

Metals Again React to Ukraine

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Hug/2014-04-08-Metals-Again-React-to-Ukraine.html

Dollar down and gold up temporarily.

Tags :  Civil WarRevoltsNATOMistake
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Monday, April 07, 2014
It is all about the U.S.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

It is all about the U.S.

 

Does Coal Have a Future?

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/04/06/does-coal-have-a-future.aspx

The is the largest exporter of coal and this will continue to grow. Use of coal in the U.S. will decline as old inefficient coal energy plants are replace by natural gas ones.

 

Health Plan Premiums Are Skyrocketing According To New Survey Of 148 Insurance Brokers, Analysts Blame Obamacare

https://screen.yahoo.com/health-plan-premiums-skyrocketing-according-083818991.html

What did you expect. Biggest job and growth killer in the U.S., but the U.S. is recovering in spite of Obamacare. Wait until it is repealed or changed.

 

Brazil Economists See Faster Inflation and Slower Growth in 2014

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-07/brazil-economists-see-faster-inflation-and-slower-growth-in-2014.html?cmpid=yhoo

This is a good model for what is coming down the road for China, India, Soviet Union and Japan.

Tags :  CoalInefficientSkyrocketingInflation
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Friday, April 04, 2014
The markets are always looking for something that might keep the Fed doing QE.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The markets are always looking for something that might keep the Fed doing QE. This is temporary and the Fed is winding down QE.

 

A.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Gold Extends Early Gains After U.S. Jobs Data Slightly Below Expectations

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-04-04/Gold-Extends-Early-Gains-After-US-Jobs-Data-Slightly-Below.html

The markets are always looking for something that might keep the Fed doing QE. This is temporary and the Fed is winding down QE.

 

China Slowdown Adds to Emerging-Market Growth Hurdles, IMF Says

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-03/china-slowdown-adds-to-emerging-market-growth-hurdles-imf-says.html?cmpid=yhoo

China is slowing down because everyone is moving back to doing business with the U.S.

 

Russian Inflation Rate Climbs to Nine-Month High on Weaker Ruble

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-04/russian-inflation-rate-climbs-to-nine-month-high-on-weaker-ruble.html?cmpid=yhoo

Russia is slowing down because everyone is moving back to doing business with the U.S.

Tags :  GainsQEGrowthChinaInflation
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Whether the IRS is ready or not, Obamacare has arrived

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

We need deregulation, deobamacare and degovernment.

 

Whether the IRS is ready or not, Obamacare has arrived

http://news.yahoo.com/whether-irs-ready-not-obamacare-arrived-220900716.html

Your health is now managed and fined by the IRS. More money to the Federal Government.

 

How Alaska and Wyoming Make People From Elsewhere Pay Their Taxes

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-04-02/how-alaska-and-wyoming-make-people-from-elsewhere-pay-their-taxes?campaign_id=yhoo

More money to the State Government.

 

If America gets a raise, everything will work better. Opinion: Falling income is bad for business

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-america-gets-a-raise-everything-will-work-better-2014-04-02?siteid=yhoof2

Raises normally follow inflation. U.S. entering a slight deflationary cycle. While this will suppress wage raises your dollar will be able to buy more.

Tags :  ObamacareIRSFederalTaxesGovernment
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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
China's demand rises.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. Economy is recovering.

 

Gold nudges up but still near seven-week low; China's demand rises

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-nudges-still-near-seven-003550030.html

As the U.S. economy improves more of our old economic allies will return and will dump gold and use the dollar. As China looses the business from these allies their economy will tank, and they are buying gold as a hedge.

 

Oil down on China factory data, US supply forecast

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-down-china-factory-data-us-supply-forecast-130157183--finance.html

U.S. supplies increasing driving the U.S. economy. China demand is decreasing as they lose business to the U.S.

 

IMF Leader Calls For Bold Policies To Aid Recovery

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-04-02/IMF-Leader-Calls-For-Bold-Policies-To-Aid-Recovery.html

As the U.S. economy recovers, led by the energy industry, the U.S. dollar will increase driving foreign currencies and economies down unless they get into bed with the U.S. The U.S. is tightening monetary policy and the rest of the world is loosening (temporary fix).

Tags :  NudgesOilPoliciesCurrenciesTemporary fix
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Don’t buy into all the gold supporters promises.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Don’t buy into all the gold supporters promises. Do your research. Dollar up, gold down.

 

Gold And The Dollar: It's The Economy, Stupid

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Brecht/2014-03-31-Gold-And-The-Dollar-It-s-The-Economy-Stupid.html

Dollar up, gold down.

 

Janet Yellen Gives ‘One of the Most Dovish Speeches I Have Ever Read’

http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/03/31/janet-yellen-gives-one-of-the-most-dovish-speeches-i-have-ever-read/?mod=yahoo_hs

Spin article. It does not matter what a Fed member says except the official release after a Fed meeting.

 

CTC’s Russian Billionaire Owner Making U.S. List Adds to Selloff

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ctc-russian-billionaire-owner-making-023552466.html

The Federal Reserve and reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar backed by the U.S. economy is still the strongest non military weapon in the world.

Tags :  EconomyFedBillionaireFederal Reserveweapon
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy is picking up. Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S. This is just the start.

 

China loses trade dispute over rare earth exports

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-loses-trade-dispute-over-rare-earth-exports-131336789--sector.html

As the U.S. economy picks up, Chinese influence wanes.

 

Where Is China’s Debt Bomb Hiding?

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-03-26/where-is-chinas-debt-bomb-hiding?campaign_id=yhoo

House of cards about to collapse.

 

Chinese Stocks Fall After Industrial Profit Growth Slows

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-27/chinese-stocks-fall-after-industrial-profit-growth-slows.html?cmpid=yhoo

It will get a lot worse as business moves away from China to the U.S.

Tags :  TradeChinaBombCollapse
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy is picking up. Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S. This is just the start.

 

China loses trade dispute over rare earth exports

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-loses-trade-dispute-over-rare-earth-exports-131336789--sector.html

As the U.S. economy picks up, Chinese influence wanes.

 

Where Is China’s Debt Bomb Hiding?

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-03-26/where-is-chinas-debt-bomb-hiding?campaign_id=yhoo

House of cards about to collapse.

 

Chinese Stocks Fall After Industrial Profit Growth Slows

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-27/chinese-stocks-fall-after-industrial-profit-growth-slows.html?cmpid=yhoo

It will get a lot worse as business moves away from China to the U.S.

Tags :  TradeChinaBombCollapse
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
There is a lot of spin out there today.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

There is a lot of spin out there today. Concentrate on the fundamentals and don’t get caught up in the headlines.

 

Russian Oil Seen Heading East, Not West, in Crimea Fight

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-oil-seen-heading-east-055028782.html

Spin article. By the time Russia has the infrastructure in place to ship oil and gas to China, the U.S. will have grown its energy supplies and put in place infrastructure to ship to Europe and China and at a cheaper price.

 

Why Employers Will Stop Offering Health Insurance

http://boss.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/03/26/why-employers-will-stop-offering-health-insurance/?_php=true&_type=blogs&partner=yahoofinance&_r=0

Spin article. First it is written by one of the creators of The Affordable Care Act (Obama Care). Second, The affordable Care Act is not that affordable. Third, more people will not work if they can not get insurance from the government for free.

 

Is SunPower Really Worth 2.5 Times First Solar?

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/24/is-sunpower-worth-25-more-than-first-solar.aspx

Half spin article. The first half of this article is spin. The last two paragraphs some it up. Without government subsidies and oil over $100 per barrel, solar is dead. As U.S. oil supplies go up. Prices will fall. When Republicans get in power again. Deregulation will kill solar subsidies.

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Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Detroit’s Orr Says Time for Bankruptcy Talks Running Out

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy's strength is led by the energy industry and our old economic allies who are returning. We are in the middle of shifting from a weak economy to a strong economy.

 

Detroit’s Orr Says Time for Bankruptcy Talks Running Out

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-25/detroit-s-orr-says-time-for-bankruptcy-talks-running-out.html?cmpid=yhoo

When this bankruptcy is done. Michigan and Detroit will have an economic boom.

 

Energy Department OKs LNG terminal on Oregon coast

http://news.yahoo.com/energy-department-oks-lng-terminal-oregon-coast-204325198--finance.html

Natural Gas is $4 in the U.S. and $16 in China.

 

Venezuela forex system sells dollars at 8 times official price

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/venezuela-launches-foreign-exchange-system-152658492.html

Do you notice they are not buying Euros, Yuan, Yen or Rubles. They are buying Dollars.

Tags :  DetroitenergygasVenezuelaYen
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