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Wednesday, April 02, 2014
China's demand rises.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. Economy is recovering.

 

Gold nudges up but still near seven-week low; China's demand rises

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-nudges-still-near-seven-003550030.html

As the U.S. economy improves more of our old economic allies will return and will dump gold and use the dollar. As China looses the business from these allies their economy will tank, and they are buying gold as a hedge.

 

Oil down on China factory data, US supply forecast

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-down-china-factory-data-us-supply-forecast-130157183--finance.html

U.S. supplies increasing driving the U.S. economy. China demand is decreasing as they lose business to the U.S.

 

IMF Leader Calls For Bold Policies To Aid Recovery

http://www.kitco.com/news/2014-04-02/IMF-Leader-Calls-For-Bold-Policies-To-Aid-Recovery.html

As the U.S. economy recovers, led by the energy industry, the U.S. dollar will increase driving foreign currencies and economies down unless they get into bed with the U.S. The U.S. is tightening monetary policy and the rest of the world is loosening (temporary fix).

Tags :  NudgesOilPoliciesCurrenciesTemporary fix
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Don’t buy into all the gold supporters promises.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Don’t buy into all the gold supporters promises. Do your research. Dollar up, gold down.

 

Gold And The Dollar: It's The Economy, Stupid

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Brecht/2014-03-31-Gold-And-The-Dollar-It-s-The-Economy-Stupid.html

Dollar up, gold down.

 

Janet Yellen Gives ‘One of the Most Dovish Speeches I Have Ever Read’

http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014/03/31/janet-yellen-gives-one-of-the-most-dovish-speeches-i-have-ever-read/?mod=yahoo_hs

Spin article. It does not matter what a Fed member says except the official release after a Fed meeting.

 

CTC’s Russian Billionaire Owner Making U.S. List Adds to Selloff

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/ctc-russian-billionaire-owner-making-023552466.html

The Federal Reserve and reserve currency status of the U.S. dollar backed by the U.S. economy is still the strongest non military weapon in the world.

Tags :  EconomyFedBillionaireFederal Reserveweapon
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy is picking up. Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S. This is just the start.

 

China loses trade dispute over rare earth exports

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-loses-trade-dispute-over-rare-earth-exports-131336789--sector.html

As the U.S. economy picks up, Chinese influence wanes.

 

Where Is China’s Debt Bomb Hiding?

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-03-26/where-is-chinas-debt-bomb-hiding?campaign_id=yhoo

House of cards about to collapse.

 

Chinese Stocks Fall After Industrial Profit Growth Slows

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-27/chinese-stocks-fall-after-industrial-profit-growth-slows.html?cmpid=yhoo

It will get a lot worse as business moves away from China to the U.S.

Tags :  TradeChinaBombCollapse
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy is picking up. Old economic allies are leaving China and returning to do business with the U.S. This is just the start.

 

China loses trade dispute over rare earth exports

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-loses-trade-dispute-over-rare-earth-exports-131336789--sector.html

As the U.S. economy picks up, Chinese influence wanes.

 

Where Is China’s Debt Bomb Hiding?

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2014-03-26/where-is-chinas-debt-bomb-hiding?campaign_id=yhoo

House of cards about to collapse.

 

Chinese Stocks Fall After Industrial Profit Growth Slows

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-27/chinese-stocks-fall-after-industrial-profit-growth-slows.html?cmpid=yhoo

It will get a lot worse as business moves away from China to the U.S.

Tags :  TradeChinaBombCollapse
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
There is a lot of spin out there today.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

There is a lot of spin out there today. Concentrate on the fundamentals and don’t get caught up in the headlines.

 

Russian Oil Seen Heading East, Not West, in Crimea Fight

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/russian-oil-seen-heading-east-055028782.html

Spin article. By the time Russia has the infrastructure in place to ship oil and gas to China, the U.S. will have grown its energy supplies and put in place infrastructure to ship to Europe and China and at a cheaper price.

 

Why Employers Will Stop Offering Health Insurance

http://boss.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/03/26/why-employers-will-stop-offering-health-insurance/?_php=true&_type=blogs&partner=yahoofinance&_r=0

Spin article. First it is written by one of the creators of The Affordable Care Act (Obama Care). Second, The affordable Care Act is not that affordable. Third, more people will not work if they can not get insurance from the government for free.

 

Is SunPower Really Worth 2.5 Times First Solar?

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/24/is-sunpower-worth-25-more-than-first-solar.aspx

Half spin article. The first half of this article is spin. The last two paragraphs some it up. Without government subsidies and oil over $100 per barrel, solar is dead. As U.S. oil supplies go up. Prices will fall. When Republicans get in power again. Deregulation will kill solar subsidies.

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Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Detroit’s Orr Says Time for Bankruptcy Talks Running Out

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

The U.S. economy's strength is led by the energy industry and our old economic allies who are returning. We are in the middle of shifting from a weak economy to a strong economy.

 

Detroit’s Orr Says Time for Bankruptcy Talks Running Out

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-25/detroit-s-orr-says-time-for-bankruptcy-talks-running-out.html?cmpid=yhoo

When this bankruptcy is done. Michigan and Detroit will have an economic boom.

 

Energy Department OKs LNG terminal on Oregon coast

http://news.yahoo.com/energy-department-oks-lng-terminal-oregon-coast-204325198--finance.html

Natural Gas is $4 in the U.S. and $16 in China.

 

Venezuela forex system sells dollars at 8 times official price

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/venezuela-launches-foreign-exchange-system-152658492.html

Do you notice they are not buying Euros, Yuan, Yen or Rubles. They are buying Dollars.

Tags :  DetroitenergygasVenezuelaYen
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Friday, March 21, 2014
It will be a roller coaster ride but dollar is going up and gold is going down.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

It will be a roller coaster ride but dollar is going up and gold is going down.

 

Did Yellen just ruin the gold trade?

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/talking-numbers/did-yellen-just-ruin-the-gold-trade-191023518.html

The moment the Fed raises the short term interest rates in 2015 gold will tank. Could go as low as $800 and stay there for a long time. Dollar up, gold down.

 

China stocks enter bear market, here’s what it means for you

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/why-china-s-bear-market-could-hurt-alibaba-s-ipo-164220458.html

Chinese stocks down 20% since December. Chinese stocks down, dollar up, gold down.

 

Racing to Save This Startling Casualty of the Oil Boom

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/20/racing-to-save-this-startling-casualty-of-the-oil.aspx

Bad title. Better title would be “The Oil Industry rushing to capture flared natural gas”. Oil Supplies up, Dollar up, gold down.

Tags :  Yellen2015Chinastock downdollar up
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Thursday, March 20, 2014
Yellen gaffe on a purpose statement.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Did Yellen gaffe or was her statement on purpose when she was asked if tapering should end in the fall? A reporter asked her approximately how long will it be before the Fed starts raising short term rates, after the tapering ends. She answered 6 months. That would mean around April 2015. Dollar up, gold down.

 

GCJ4-Yellen's Slip Drops Gold As Rate Rise

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Ilczyszyn/2014-03-20-GCJ4-Yellen-s-Slip-Drops-Gold-As-Rate-Rise.html

Yellen gaffe or on purpose statement.

Tags :  Yellentapering6 monthsGCJ4Gold
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Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Will Yellen lower the threshold on raising short term interest rates from 6.5% to 6%?

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

Will Yellen lower the threshold on raising short term interest rates from 6.5% to 6%? In the report “the Economic Update”, Dr. Sumner wrote about unemployment dropping to 6% before short term rates move.  Dr. Sumner is credited with developing the “NGDP targeting” policy which was adopted by the Federal Reserve and Bernanke. To read a copy of Dr. Sumner’s economic update, click http://www.rcwfinancial.com/Resources/EconomicReports

 

Fed poised to trim bond buying, rewrite rates guidance

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/yellen-fed-poised-trim-bond-buying-rewrite-rates-050257300--business.html

It will take a couple of days for the results of this meeting to be felt.

 

Crude oil inventories up 5.9 million barrels

http://finance.yahoo.com/video/crude-oil-inventories-5-9-143100946.html

Production of energy in the U.S. is increasing.

 

Jim Cramer Says Bet Against Wall Street Pros to Make Money

http://finance.yahoo.com/video/jim-cramer-says-bet-against-132659916.html

Manipulated and volatile.

Tags :  YellenFedJim CramerManipulatedVolatile
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Tuesday, March 18, 2014
China is a house of cards. Dollar up. Gold Down.

Paul’s Economic Outlook:

China is a house of cards. Dollar up. Gold Down.

 

'A controlled explosion' is happening in China, says FT’s Pilling

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/chinese-currency-plunges-on-policy-change--a--controlled-explosion--going-on-in-the-country--says-ft-asia-editor-151930630.html

Dollar up. Gold down.

 

Economist Warns That China's 'Bear Stearns Moment' May Strike Any Time

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/economist-warns-chinas-bear-stearns-213128210.html

Dollar up. Gold Down.

 

China Developer With $567 Million Debt Said to Collapse

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-17/chinese-developer-with-3-5-billion-yuan-in-debt-said-to-collapse.html?cmpid=yhoo

Dollar up. Gold Down.

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